In yesterday’s (9/24/12) Peach
Pundit, one analyst opined,
“… Kasim Reed is stuck. He can’t run for Governor. He’d lose. He can’t run for U.S. Senate. He’d lose. So where does this new national exposure get him except maybe a plum post in the Obama Administration that, at best, lasts four years.”
Well, that’s part of the story, certainly.
When answering the question, What’s next for Kasim? It's said that June
Reed, Kasim's father, likes to offer up a particularly pungent gruel and
each time the elder Reed speaks of his son’s White House plans, I simply find
it to be a bit too much.
The “junior” Reed has his eye on higher
office and Peach Pundit’s analysis opens the door for Rest Of The Story.
Here’s a take on the rough plan Kasim Reed has shared with close
associates.
Step 1: Avoid Indictment
Kasim just won’t look good in an orange jump suit. If by
chance Reed avoids Federal
indictment – we’ll likely know after the national election – then
he’ll have nothing but daylight between himself and being elected to office for
life.
Step 2: Generate Campaign Cash
A recent AJC headline boomed, “With
$1 Million In Bank, Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed Says Fundraising Just Getting
Started.” Reed has raised cash faster than any Atlanta incumbent in recent
memory and you can’t get mad at him for showing his fundraising prowess –
especially once you understand the larger plan he shares with intimates.
Step 3: Raise Money For Obama’s Re-Election
To position himself for an appointment in a second Obama
term, Reed has spent the last several months traveling around the nation
working backrooms and raising money for the Democratic Party and Obama’s
reelection (see donations made to the various campaign committees by those who
do work in the city).
Also, known as one of Obama’s top fundraising bundlers, Dan
Halpern (Reed’s campaign chairman) is opening checkbooks for Obama’s
reelection. The “Halpern / Reed” or “Reed / Halpern” partnership (the order of
the names depends on who you ask) has been tense at times recently but “blood
oaths” are “blood oaths.”
Step 4: Get a Domestic Cabinet Appointment
Reed’s labors and the efforts of others will help to
position Reed for a domestic appointment, think Department of Commerce. Reed
sees himself playing the same role Ron Brown and Mickey Kantor played in Bill
Clinton’s administrations.
Step 5: Hand-Pick Mayoral Successor
Here’s where it starts to get particularly insidious.
If the Obama Cabinet appointment is timed properly, Reed
will have the opportunity to hand-pick his successor. If Reed is permitted by
Obama to resign as mayor at the right time (see the Atlanta City Charter), then
a special city election will be avoided.
Step 6: Hold-On to Campaign Cash
If Reed can avoid a reelection campaign AND hand-pick his
successor then he’ll leave for Washington with a boatload of campaign cash
sitting in the bank.
Step 7: Build A Political Machine
Reed’s unspent campaign cash and his hand-selected successor
are all the makings of a strong political machine. A politically weak but
seemingly competent successor (think Jimmy Hoffa’s successor, Frank
Fitzsimmons) will provide the Reed with the opportunity to build and broaden a
political machine.
Step 8: Wait Out Lewis
Despite serving as a onetime staff member to the respected
Congressman John Lewis, the mutually held enmity is widely discussed in
“quiet spaces” around Atlanta.
Step 9: Return To Run For Congress
Let’s face it, at 72 Congressman Lewis has only a few more
re-election campaigns before he retires. At the opportune time (a/k/a 2016),
Reed will return to Atlanta to run for Congress. He will be well-funded and a
successful, uneventful tenure as a cabinet officer in hand.
Step 10: Office For
Life
In 2016, Reed will be young enough to count on at least 25
years in office. Moreover, by then several protégés will have served as mayor
of Atlanta. With the predicted demographic changes in Georgia, it’s impossible
to anticipate Reed’s statewide appeal in 15 years.
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